Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 6.312392e-06 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012
2025-01-12 5.210618e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000015
2025-01-19 4.402331e-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000011 0.000013 0.000017
2025-01-26 3.857381e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021
2025-02-02 3.531708e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026
2025-02-09 3.164726e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030
2025-02-16 2.890229e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000036
2025-02-23 2.639578e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000042
2025-03-02 2.391658e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000009 0.000014 0.000025 0.000047
2025-03-09 2.184679e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027 0.000054
2025-03-16 2.030633e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000029 0.000062
2025-03-23 1.904340e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000072
2025-03-30 1.727730e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000016 0.000033 0.000079
2025-04-06 1.596868e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000016 0.000035 0.000090
2025-04-13 1.475416e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000037 0.000101
2025-04-20 1.388246e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000041 0.000117
2025-04-27 1.343508e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000019 0.000046 0.000144
2025-05-04 1.268628e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000050 0.000167
2025-05-11 1.210476e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000055 0.000198
2025-05-18 1.149648e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000060 0.000229
2025-05-25 1.080142e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000063 0.000257
2025-06-01 1.018456e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000022 0.000066 0.000289
2025-06-08 9.721401e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000023 0.000071 0.000334